STROKING THE SYSTEM Beware of any roulette betting system that depends on a pregression of bets, it is doomed to fail. You may experience some short-term wins with a progressive system, but eventually, the house advantage will catch up with you and you’ll experience a disastrous loss that may wipe out any previous successful sessions.
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Over the long run, any progressive betting system has to find a way to beat the hefty 5.26 percent house edge, and in long history of roulette, no one has been able to develop a system that would beat even the low French disadvantage of 2.7 percent.
It becomes more important, therefore, to be able to rely on human or mechanical error to become a consistent winner at roulette. There are several “systems” that may help you discern where and when the ball is going to land in a particular number or group of numbers. By reading this next section, you will understand why many roulette players seem to be studying the wheel with such grear concern.
CLOCKING THE WHEEL In most cases, you cannot predict where the ball is going to land, but many roulette players believe that by recording where the ball has landed in the past will allow them to estimate when it will land there again.
To accomplish this, roulette players sit for hours, recording the list of numbers that hit. They note when a number hits more frequently than should be statistically probable, and then wager on that number, hoping the trend will continue.
They will also try to determine whether the ball is landing in any one “section” more than another section. If you look at the roulette wheel and use the “0” as the 12 o’clock point, the wheel can be divided into four quadrants. The roulette wheel is masterfully laid out, even when the “00” is added. Directly across the wheel from any even number is the next odd number, and vice versa. Pairs of even numbers alternate with pairs of odd numbers, except when split by the “0” and “00”.
Clocking the wheel can be very laborious, but some casinos have added an electronic device to help. These “scoreboards” record the last 20 numbers and colors that have it. For those who don’t want to go back hundreds of spins, this scoreboard can be of great assistance.
One system is to note whether one or more numbers have hit twice or more within the last 20 spins. If so, the player places a straight-up wager on that number for the next five spins. If it hits, he pockets the profits and starts over. This continues until the number doesn’t hit in five spins, and he gets up in search of another table hitting the “big” numbers.
Another method is to record the number of times the ball falls into a section of the wheel. By tracking the 20 spins, the ball must fall into one of the quadrants more than 25 percent of the time, since this should be the statistical norm. When you discover an anomaly, bet the numbers in that section for ten spins. If you win, continue to play that section until it regresses to hitting the normal amount, which should be five times for every 20 spins.
BIASED WHEELS It is possible for a roulette wheel to be “biased” in such a manner that the observant player can obtain an advantage over the casino in the long run. These biases are caused by mechanical defects in the roulette wheel. But finding a wheel that is so defective as to actually overcome the builtin house advantage is extremely rare.
Most biased roulette wheels are not balanced correctly, and the spin of the wheel causes the ball to fall in one section of the wheel statistically more than in any other section. To make a valid observation, however, the player must be prepared to “clock” the wheel for an extended amount of time. The minimum amount of spins you want to observe is 500, because anything less would be considered short-term, and not statistically valid. You also must find a group of numbers that reoccur at least five percent more frequently than would be considered normal in order to overcome the house advantage.
(pic, pg 59) Use this table of “neighbours” to find sections to bet in. DEALER SIGNATURE Dealers are human. They have friends and family, and lives outside of the casino. Not every dealer pays attention to his or her job 100 percent of the time. Because dealers may be thinking about other things while spinning the ball around the roulette wheel, the observant player may be able to determine whether that dealer is unconsciously (or consciously) giving the players an edge.
Some experienced roulette players swear that some dealers spin the ball at exactly the same speed each time. By noting where the wheel is at the exact moment the ball takes off, these players believe they can predict, within a few numbers, where the ball is going to land. Since you can continue to bet after the spin begins, they say they are able to cover those numbers and, more often than not, they claim to win. Skeptics discount these theories. Even if that were possible, they say, there are “ball stops” scattered around the wheel, little pieces of ornamentation that deflect the ball, making it difficult, if not impossible, to predict the ball’s path.
Whether it works or not is debatable, but it’s worth a look. Notice the speed of the ball as it leaves the dealer’s hand. Count the number of times the ball circumnavigates the wheel. And, of course, note where it lands in comparison to where it was launched.
If you find a “dealer signature”, it may only last for a short time. It could be at the end of the shift, when the dealer is thinking only about going home, or it could be at the beginning of the shift, when the dealer is thinking about the events of the previous evening. Like a human being, a dealer signature is a very fragile thing.
THE DECLINE OF ROULETTE Casino executives, like all other businessmen, focus on the bottom line. Each game on the casino floor is expected to stand on its own. Complicated formulas tell executives how much each game is worth to the bottom line. Included in the equation are the costs for employees and equipment. In this context, slot machines are the best choice for the casino executives, with blackjack a distrant second. Other table games, such as roulette and craps, barely register. A casino can generally make more money from three slot machines than from one roulette table. If promoted and managed properly, roulette could be a casino’s most profitable game. To attract more action per hour to a roulette table, the casino must attract more players. But players are staying away from the tables in increasing numbers. Roulette has been described as a “sucker’s game” over the past 20 years by virtually every gambling authority. Nobody wants to be thought of as a sucker and, as a result, roulette is ignored by serious players.
Another reason roulette is unpopular in the US is that the casino’s attitude towards the players is often less than professional. Because of the house edge, casino executives know that roulette players don’t have a chance, especially when they are uneducated about how to play. This causes casino executives to disdain roulette players.
